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UK advertising forecasts rise : Highest y-o-y growth for three years fuels optimism

UK advertising forecasts rise Highest y-o-y growth for three years fuels optimism

10th January 2014: UK advertising forecasts for 2014 have been upgraded to £18.8bn – growth of 5.3%.  The move follows the release of Q3 2013 data which showed ad revenues at their highest rate of year-on-year growth since 2010.

Adspend is now forecast to reach £17.8bn in 2013 (up 3.8%) and £18.8bn in 2014 (up 5.3%).

Total UK adspend grew at its fastest rate in three years in Q3 2013.  Expenditure for the period reached £4.2bn, up 5.5% year-on-year.

Growth was driven by internet (+13.7%) and TV (+14.5%) with out of home performing better than expected – it had been forecast a double digit drop following exceptional, Olympic-driven performance in Q3 2012, but declined just -4.8%.

Tim Lefroy, Chief Executive of the Advertising Association said:

“Advertising bounced back to pre-recession levels in 2012 and keeps on bouncing.   Economists take note, adspend is more than a bellwether – it has been shown to drive GDP growth, not just follow it.”

Last year saw an important change in methodology that allows subscribers to the AA/Warc Expenditure Report to view the impact of online adspend for newsbrands, magazine brands and TV. This approach is a truer representation of today’s media landscape and provides a view of adspend that is relevant to agencies, advertisers and media owners now and into the future.

 

Yr-on-yr % change

Q3 2013

FY 2013

FY 2014

(actuals)

(forecast)

(forecast)

TV*

14.5

5.4

6.0

Radio

-4.3

-4.1

2.9

Out of home

-4.8

1.4

5.1

Newsbrands

-6.9

-6.6

-1.0

Magazine brands

-2.2

-5.0

-1.3

Cinema

-8.1

-12.4

4.9

Internet**

13.7

14.2

10.1

Direct mail***

1.0

0.0

2.0

Total

5.5

3.8

5.3

* TV spot advertising and broadcaster VOD only.

** Internet data for Q3 2013 are Warc estimates. Excludes broadcaster only VOD, digital adspend for newsbrands and magazine brands.

*** Direct mail data for Q1–Q3 2013 are Warc estimates.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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